BNZ Green
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Risk & Compliance

Quantify the climate risk on your balance sheet

Climate risk becomes a board matter the moment it has a number attached. We run physical and transition risk assessment with scenario analysis that produces financial figures, not heat maps.

  • TCFD & IFRS S2
  • Scenario analysis
  • CBAM readiness
Assess your exposureReporting & disclosure

Scope

Both sides of the risk register

Physical risk to assets and operations, transition risk to markets and margins — assessed on the same financial basis so they can be compared and prioritised.

  • Asset-level physical risk screening for flood, heat, water stress and cyclone
  • Transition risk across carbon pricing, technology shift and demand change
  • Scenario analysis across orderly, disorderly and hot-house pathways
  • Financial quantification of material risks and opportunities
  • CBAM exposure assessment and embedded emissions reporting readiness
  • Risk register integration with existing enterprise risk management

Capabilities

What we assess

  • Physical risk

    Site-by-site hazard exposure under multiple warming scenarios, with damage and downtime estimates.

  • Transition risk

    Carbon price sensitivity, technology substitution and shifting customer requirements modelled on your cost base.

  • Scenario analysis

    IEA and NGFS-aligned scenarios applied to your assets and markets, producing quantified outcome ranges.

  • CBAM readiness

    Embedded emissions calculation for in-scope goods, plus the reporting mechanics and supplier data requirements.

  • Regulatory horizon scanning

    Tracking of emerging disclosure and carbon regulation across the jurisdictions you operate in.

  • Adaptation planning

    Prioritised resilience measures for the exposures that scenario analysis shows to be material.

Approach

From screening to a costed register

  1. 01

    Screen

    Identify exposed assets, value chains and revenue streams across scenarios.

  2. 02

    Model

    Apply scenario pathways and quantify financial impact ranges.

  3. 03

    Prioritise

    Rank risks by expected impact and time horizon, then identify response options.

  4. 04

    Integrate

    Embed into enterprise risk management and disclose against TCFD or IFRS S2.

Questions

Risk questions

  • How far out should scenario analysis run?

    We typically model 2030, 2040 and 2050 horizons. Nearer horizons drive capital and operational decisions; longer ones test strategic resilience. Anything beyond 2050 carries uncertainty wide enough to limit its decision value.

  • Does CBAM apply to us?

    It depends on whether you export in-scope goods to the EU, or supply someone who does. The indirect exposure through customer data requests is frequently overlooked. A short screening exercise resolves this quickly.

  • Can you quantify risk without perfect asset data?

    Yes. We start with location and asset-class level screening to find where exposure concentrates, then invest in detailed data only for the sites that screening flags as material.

Put a number on your climate exposure

We will screen your asset base and value chain, then show you where quantified analysis is worth the effort.

  • GHG Protocol aligned
  • Third-party assurance ready
  • Sector-specific teams